Live In Game Betting Strategy
In-play betting is becoming more and more popular. Often the excitement of watching a game can be enhanced with a bet.
Different coaches employ different late-game strategies so it’s best to read up before the game. Live Betting on Horseracing. Betting on ponies is fun but if you’re a beginner, just looking at an odds sheet and a program can be intimidating. Add to that the complexity of in-game betting. Live betting, sometimes called in-game betting or betting in running, is the ability for bettors to make additional wagers AFTER the game has already started. Sometimes these wagers are offered between quarters or periods, and in some cases, they are offered after every single play or drive.
Bookmakers know this and they often offer a multitude of markets to bet on in-play.
- Five best football betting strategies. Football is certainly the most popular sport when it comes to online betting. It attracts tons of money on a regular basis, but most of the players are losing in the long run.
- Live Betting Strategy. When it appeared several years ago, in-play betting revolutionised online sports betting as we know it. Since then, professional punters have found that it can do absolute wonders in terms of value.
However the majority of the time if you are betting in-play you will find the best value at the betting exchanges. With betting exchanges you also have the option of trading your positions. If I am betting in-play then it is the exchanges that I will normally look to first.
Lets take a look at some in-play football betting and trading strategies that can be profitable with the right approach.
In Game Betting
Inplay Football Betting Strategy – Laying The Draw
Laying the draw is a strategy that is used by most newcomers to football trading and is easy to follow.
In the past many people used this strategy pre-match. They would lay the draw before the start of a game, wait for a goal to be scored and then hedge all outcomes hopefully for a profit.
However as time has gone on this has become a less profitable and less popular strategy.
Another option with this strategy is to delay your entry into the trade.
Look for games that are level in the second half and then look to lay the draw with the game inplay.
Using this strategy you would lower the potential risk level as the draw odds are lower and take a higher profit if a goal is scored.
You don’t have to trade out of this position either. Some people are happy to lay the draw in the second half and move on to the next bet. Using this strategy as a straight betting method.
Laying The Draw In-Play – Optimal Conditions
- Favourite needs to win – I want the favourite to be really pushing for a goal. Perhaps they are second place in the league and a win would put them top. Or maybe its a cup game and they really don’t want to go to a replay.
- The underdog should show they can counter – If the underdog is just sitting back and soaking up the pressure without countering. Then we may as well just back the favourite if they are the only team that look like scoring.
Laying The Correct Score Strategy
Another strategy that can used exclusively with the betting exchanges is laying the correct score.
With this strategy we are looking to bet that there will be at least one more goal in the game. Now if you were to use this strategy pre match you would be laying at pretty high odds. In-play however you can often find good opportunities at much lower odds.
In the example above the score was 0-0 after around 60 minutes. Liverpool were the favourites playing at home. They found themselves trailing 0-1 on aggregate in a cup semi final. This meant that Liverpool needed a goal to have any hope of qualification. Liverpool pushed hard for the goal however it was Southampton who scored an injury time winner on the counter attack.
What type of conditions are ideal for these types of strategies?
Laying The Correct Score In-play – Optimal Conditions
- Home team favourites are trailing by a goal – When a home team favourite is trailing and time is ticking down you will often see a great sense of urgency. Also the home crowd will often add extra pressure for them to push forward.
- There is only a one goal difference – When there is only a one goal difference it can make a big psychological difference to a players mentality. One goal seems within achievable even if there is only a few minutes remaining in the game.
- Game tempo is also a key factor – Is the referee letting the game flow or continually stopping it? Are the leading team looking to counter or happy to sit back? Are tactical changes being made and substitutions?
Other In-Play Betting Strategies
There are a lot approaches you can take when looking to find value in the in-play betting markets. Niche markets can provide great value as they are often overlooked. The corner markets are a favourite for quite a few profitable tipsters that I have seen.
Then there are the over/under goals markets, the first half goal markets, total goals, next goal, Asian handicap markets. With so many markets and options available there are countless in-play betting strategies that you can try.
With in-play betting and trading the odds in these markets have to consistently change with the dynamics of the game. This often means there are is a lot of potential value bets to be found with the right research.
Where Can I Find Stats For In-Play Betting?
Live In Game Betting Strategy
If you planning to bet in-play you might want to look at the statistics of previous games.There are a number of really good sites for football statistics. Here some recommendations which are all free to use.
My personal favourite is soccerstats. It has a great layout, is easy to use and gives you really great statistical breakdowns. Which you can see from the above screenshot.
Where can I get stats for games that have already started?
Most bookmakers will provide you a statistical breakdown of a game that they are offering in-play. What you should be aware of is that they might not always be 100% accurate.
I would always prefer to have live video for a game that I was intending to bet or trade. As not all shots on target are of the same relevance and possession stats don’t always indicate a teams dominance.
However if you can’t get live video. Here are some of my recommendations free sites that give live data on ongoing football matches.
- Bet365 (Need funded account but free to view live stats)
- Flashscore(Have statistics for most major games)
In-Play Football Betting Strategies – General Advice
When you are looking to bet in-play you might sometimes be in a rush to place your bet. However if you really want to make money from any avenue of betting its important to get the best odds possible.
On most occasions you will find this with a betting exchange such as Betfair. But sometimes you may find it with a bookmaker you have access too. Oddsportal have a live feed for in-play odds which you can use for a quick comparison when betting in-play.
Don’t force a bet or trade just because your watching a game. Often you will see bookmakers advertising “Milner to score the next goal at 9.0” during half time.
These are exactly the types of bets you don’t want to make. There is a reason a bookmaker is promoting this bet because its terrible value.
If you want to find good value in the in-play markets then you will need to do your research. Wait like a sniper and then when everything aligns enter the market.
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Related
If you're a seasoned veteran when it comes to betting on sports then you will know all too well what I'm about to talk about in the next paragraph. If by chance you are new to the sports betting industry, welcome and I hope you find your journey full of entertainment and profit.
Back in the old days, when bookies were taking bets via phone calls and updating their odds on chalk boards and the only way to get some good information was by reading the local newspaper, the entire premise of sports betting was the 'pre-game' bet on the outright winner, the point spread or the total. There was no such thing as 'in-game' betting because people didn't have the capacity to set lines in real time and avoid losing a fortune.
Thanks to today's technology, sportsbooks still rely on linemakers but also on super computers that can figure out the probability of almost everything that could occur in any given game and then spit out a betting line for the consumers to wager upon.
When it comes to pre-game wagers, there is only so much studying, trends and factors that a bettor can entertain before placing his bet. Once the game starts, the factors change and so could any edge you thought you found. I've been in the game long enough to declare a bet a losing play minutes into a game for a number of different reasons. I wasn't always right, but on several occasions the ability to place a live in-game wager helped limit the damage to the bankroll.
Live Wagering Options
Since you can bet on almost any sport imaginable, there are countless opportunities to play the in-game betting game. To save time, I've listed a bunch of the more popular in-game betting options available to bettors broken down by sport.
Live In Game Betting Strategy Tactics
Live Wagering Football Options: money line, point spread, total, team to score next point, result of upcoming drive, what will next points be (FG, TD or Safety), what will the next play be (run, completed pass, or incomplete pass).
Live Wagering Basketball Options: money line, point spread, total, 2nd/3rd/4th quarter lines and team totals.
Live Wagering Baseball Options: money line, spread, total, inning total, team to score next run, hit or no hit (each inning).
Live Wagering Hockey Options: money line, total, team to score next goal, period total (over/under), team totals (game and period), exact number of goals.
Live Wagering Soccer Options: money line, point spread, total, team to score next goal, total corners.
Live Wagering Tennis Options: money line, total sets, total games (individual or combined), next game winner, next point winner, next set winner, exact set score.
Even by covering those six major sports, I've barely scratched the surface of the trillion in-game wagering options available. But now that you have more of an understanding of the kinds of lines that are offered once the game gets underway, I can explain to you the different types of in-game bettors I've come across over my time in the industry.
Different Types of Live Wagering Bettors
The 'Game is Already Over' Bettor - This kind of bettor is the kind of person who places a pre-match bet and then takes to social media or betting forums and claims his pick is the lock of the century. About halfway through the first period/quarter, this type of bettor will hit the live wagering hard and jump on the other team in order to do damage control and save his bankroll from going up in flames. Usually saving the bankroll is the main priority, but there are certain instances when jumping ship could prove profitable. Let's say you absolutely love this basketball matchup and you've been waiting a while to bet it. You do all your research and place your wager pre-game with the utmost confidence. Then game time rolls around and your team is ice cold from the floor and looks completely lethargic. You know you're on the wrong side, so instead of watching your ticket burn, you are willing to accept defeat and attempt to break even, possibly turn a small profit. This is the worst possible version of the live-wagering bettor.
The 'Feel' Bettor - This kind of bettor lives for in-game wagering. They watch every single minute of every game they are interested in and make wagers according to what they see/feel. This method takes up a lot of time, and you must maintain 100 percent focus at all times. The best example I can give you is the in-game soccer bettor. Since soccer is a game of few goals, in-game bettors love to pounce on goal lines (at least, I do). In soccer, totals usually start at 2 or 2.5 depending on the team. Depending on the situation and where they are in the table, teams may come out in a defensive formation to play for a draw or an offensive formation to try and get the win. By watching the game and using your own eyes as a guide, you should be able to tell if there are going to be goals scored after half an hour of playing time. I'm not saying this bettor is going to be right every single time, but being able to feel the game out and watch how it's playing out will help you nail a live-wager or two.
The 'Middle' Bettor
This is definitely the trickiest method to employ when you are thinking about live wagering. The 'Middle' bettor will place a pre-match wager on the point spread and then attempt to middle that bet when the game gets underway. Obviously, as points are scored the spread changes, so this type of live wagering requires precise timing and the wherewithal to know when to place a bet on the in-game point spread. For example, this bettor will bet the Cowboys at (-10) pre-game only see them jump ahead by seven-points early in the first. The spread is very likely to climb possible to (-16.5) or (-17). Bettors who feel that's way too many points will jump on the other team at +17 and hope the Cowboys win by 11-16 points in order to win both bets.
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